According to @rovercrc, current market odds show a 93.4% probability of a 25 bps rate cut and a 6.6% probability of a 50 bps cut, source: @rovercrc. @rovercrc states that markets will explode, signaling traders to prepare for heightened volatility across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies, source: @rovercrc. For short-term positioning, this skew in expectations supports volatility-focused setups around the decision window, source: @rovercrc.

According to @Andre_Dragosch, the market currently prices only a 13% probability of a 50 bps rate cut next week and an 89% probability of a cumulative 75 bps of cuts by year-end, indicating expectations are skewed toward later-year easing rather than an immediate large cut for traders monitoring crypto market sensitivity to policy shifts (source: André Dragosch on X, Sep 10, 2025).

According to @rovercrc, Polymarket traders are pricing a 70% probability of a September US Federal Reserve rate cut, indicating strong market expectations for policy easing. Source: @rovercrc. Traders may monitor this 70% odds level as a macro input when sizing BTC and ETH exposure into September policy risk. Source: @rovercrc.